A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case

Peter J. van Koppen, Anne Ruth Mackor*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)
62 Downloads (Pure)


In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario‐approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation‐based and probabilistic approaches.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1132-1151
Number of pages20
JournalTopics in Cognitive Science
Issue number4
Early online date2-Jun-2019
Publication statusPublished - 3-Nov-2020


  • scenario theory
  • criminal law
  • evidence
  • inference to the best explanation

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