Association of baseline and longitudinal changes in insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 with the risk of incident heart failure: Data from the PREVEND study

Sabrina Abou Kamar, Valentina Bracun, Maissa El-Qendouci, Nils Bomer, Stephan J.L. Bakker, Ron T. Gansevoort, Eric Boersma, Isabella Kardys, Rudolf A. de Boer*, Navin Suthahar*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)
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Abstract

Aim: Senescence is a major risk factor for heart failure (HF), and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 (IGFBP7) has been identified as an important senescence-inducing factor. The aim of this study was to examine the value of baseline and repeat IGFBP7 measurements in predicting future HF among community-dwelling Dutch adults from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study. 

Methods and results: Individuals without prevalent HF who attended PREVEND visits 2 and 4 median of 5.1 years apart (25th–75th percentile, 4.9–5.2) with measurements of IGFBP7 were included. We used Cox proportional hazards models to investigate the association between IGFBP7 and HF incidence. A total of 6125 participants attending visit 2 (mean ± standard deviation [SD] age 53.1 ± 12.2 years; 3151 [51.4%] men) were followed for a median of 8.4 (7.8–8.9) years, and 194 participants (3.2%) developed incident HF. Median baseline IGFBP7 concentration was 87.0 (75.1–97.3) ng/ml, and baseline IGFBP7 levels were significantly associated with risk for incident HF (HF risk factors adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per 1 SD change in log-transformed IGFBP7: 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03–1.46). Baseline IGFBP7 was also significantly associated with incident HF in individuals with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide <125 ng/L. Among 3879 participants attending both visits 2 and 4 (mean ± SD age 57.5 ± 11.3 years; 1952 [50.3%] men), 93 individuals developed HF (after visit 4) during a median follow-up of 3.2 (2.8–3.9) years. Median increase in IGFBP7 concentration between visits was 0.68 (−7.09 to 8.36) ng/ml, and changes in IGFBP7 levels were significantly associated with risk for incident HF (HF risk factors adjusted HR per 1 SD change in log-transformed IGFBP7: 1.68, 95% CI 1.19–2.36). 

Conclusions: Both baseline as well as repeat IGFBP7 measurements provide information about the risk of developing HF.

Original languageEnglish
Number of pages9
JournalEuropean Journal of Heart Failure
DOIs
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 17-Jul-2024

Keywords

  • General population
  • IGFBP7
  • Incident heart failure
  • Senescence

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