Bayes Factor Approaches for Testing Interval Null Hypotheses

Richard D. Morey*, Jeffrey N. Rouder

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

406 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Psychological theories are statements of constraint. The role of hypothesis testing in psychology is to test whether specific theoretical constraints hold in data. Bayesian statistics is well suited to the task of finding supporting evidence for constraint, because it allows for comparing evidence for 2 hypotheses against each another. One issue in hypothesis testing is that constraints may hold only approximately rather than exactly, and the reason for small deviations may be trivial or uninteresting. In the large-sample limit, these uninteresting, small deviations lead to the rejection of a useful constraint. In this article, we develop several Bayes factor 1-sample tests for the assessment of approximate equality and ordinal constraints. In these tests, the null hypothesis covers a small interval of non-0 but negligible effect sizes around 0. These Bayes factors are alternatives to previously developed Bayes factors, which do not allow for interval null hypotheses, and may especially prove useful to researchers who use statistical equivalence testing. To facilitate adoption of these Bayes factor tests, we provide easy-to-use software.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)406-419
Number of pages14
JournalPsychological Methods
Volume16
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec-2011

Keywords

  • Bayesian analysis
  • Bayes factor
  • equivalence tests
  • effect size
  • P-VALUES
  • GENDER SIMILARITIES
  • EMOTIONAL WORDS
  • BIOEQUIVALENCE
  • MEMORY
  • BIAS

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