ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES AND PROSPECTS - TAIWAN MIRACLE

B DEVRIES*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Energy use in Taiwan has grown exponentially at rates of 8-10%/year between 1952 and 1988. Official scenarios, based on an average of 6.5%/year economic growth, extrapolate another doubling to tripling of energy and electricity use for the beginning of the next century. With help of a simple model, four scenarios for the future are explored. A low-energy future for Taiwan, with its strategic and ecological benefits, is not impossible but requires, given the high economic growth target, great efforts in terms of political commitment and technomanagerial skills. Energy and environmental aspects of electric power and road transport are discussed in some detail. It is concluded that for Taiwan's economic miracle to be feasible and desirable, adequate anticipation of, and response to, the environmental consequences of a 'business-as-usual' future are necessary. Taiwan should be stimulated to avoid the past mistakes of the industrialized countries - a challenge to perform another miracle.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)949-961
Number of pages13
JournalEnergy Policy
Volume18
Issue number10
Publication statusPublished - Dec-1990

Keywords

  • ENERGY USE
  • TAIWAN
  • SCENARIOS

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