Finance and Growth in China, 1995-2013: More liquidity or more development?

Lu Zhang, Dirk Bezemer

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We study the relation of financial development with income growth in China over 1995–2013. In panel and GMM analyses of province-level data, we find that accounting for the short-term spending effect of credit flows on growth, the effect of credit stocks to GDP (the traditional measure of financial development) is negative or insignificant. To identify the channels, we study the effects on GDP aggregates. Our findings suggest that credit expansion held back consumption growth by claiming resources for investment in gross capital formation and net exports. This effect is stronger with more rapid credit growth. The findings are consistent with an investment bias in China’s development path.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)613-631
Number of pages19
JournalCambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society
Volume9
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov-2016

Keywords

  • ECONOMIC-GROWTH
  • CRISIS
  • DETERMINANTS
  • IMPACT
  • WILL

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