Large language model-driven analysis of supply risk dynamics in global electric vehicle supply chain

  • Lanxin Zhang
  • , Xin Sun
  • , Mao Xu
  • , Yuyao Yang
  • , Tingting Zhang
  • , Zongguo Wen*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Driven by ambitious climate targets, the rapid growth of electric vehicles (EV) is creating complex global supply chains that are increasingly exposed to disruptions. While supply risks, such as political instability and resource scarcity, are widely recognized, systematic assessments of disruption events across the entire EV supply chain remain limited. This study employs a Large language model (LLM) with prompt engineering to identify disruption events from unstructured textual data and further analyze risk dynamics. Applying this approach to 3125 news articles from 2006 to 2025, we extract 2843 documented events and further categorize them into 50 disruption event types and 8 supply risk types, spanning 49 supply chain stages and 78 countries and regions. We find that geopolitical risks have emerged as the dominant concern in recent years. Vehicle assembly, battery manufacturing, and lithium ore extraction emerged as the most vulnerable stages. Geographic heterogeneity in risk distribution reveals the distinct roles countries play in the global EV supply chain. This proposed LLM-based framework provides actionable insights for enhancing supply chain resilience during the accelerating EV transition.

Original languageEnglish
Article number108378
Number of pages9
JournalEnvironmental Impact Assessment Review
Volume119
Early online date6-Feb-2026
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 6-Feb-2026

Keywords

  • Disruption events
  • Electric vehicle
  • Large language model
  • Supply chain
  • Supply risk

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