Machine learning and big data analytics in bipolar disorder: A position paper from the International Society for Bipolar Disorders Big Data Task Force

Ives C. Passos, Pedro L. Ballester, Rodrigo C. Barros, Diego Librenza-Garcia, Benson Mwangi, Boris Birmaher, Elisa Brietzke, Tomas Hajek, Carlos Lopez Jaramillo, Rodrigo B. Mansur, Martin Alda, Bartholomeus C. M. Haarman, Erkki Isometsa, Raymond W. Lam, Roger S. McIntyre, Luciano Minuzzi, Lars V. Kessing, Lakshmi N. Yatham, Anne Duffy, Flavio Kapczinski*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

13 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Objectives The International Society for Bipolar Disorders Big Data Task Force assembled leading researchers in the field of bipolar disorder (BD), machine learning, and big data with extensive experience to evaluate the rationale of machine learning and big data analytics strategies for BD. Method A task force was convened to examine and integrate findings from the scientific literature related to machine learning and big data based studies to clarify terminology and to describe challenges and potential applications in the field of BD. We also systematically searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science for articles published up to January 2019 that used machine learning in BD. Results The results suggested that big data analytics has the potential to provide risk calculators to aid in treatment decisions and predict clinical prognosis, including suicidality, for individual patients. This approach can advance diagnosis by enabling discovery of more relevant data-driven phenotypes, as well as by predicting transition to the disorder in high-risk unaffected subjects. We also discuss the most frequent challenges that big data analytics applications can face, such as heterogeneity, lack of external validation and replication of some studies, cost and non-stationary distribution of the data, and lack of appropriate funding. Conclusion Machine learning-based studies, including atheoretical data-driven big data approaches, provide an opportunity to more accurately detect those who are at risk, parse-relevant phenotypes as well as inform treatment selection and prognosis. However, several methodological challenges need to be addressed in order to translate research findings to clinical settings.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)582-594
Number of pages13
JournalBipolar Disorders
Volume21
Issue number7
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 18-Sep-2019

Keywords

  • big data
  • bipolar disorder
  • data mining
  • deep learning
  • machine learning
  • personalized psychiatry
  • predictive psychiatry
  • risk prediction
  • MOOD DISORDERS
  • PREDICTING SUICIDALITY
  • LITHIUM RESPONSE
  • RISK
  • DEPRESSION
  • SCHIZOPHRENIA
  • ASSOCIATION
  • CLASSIFICATION
  • SYMPTOMS
  • NEUROPROGRESSION

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