Modelling the renewable transition: Scenarios and pathways for a decarbonized future using pymedeas, a new open-source energy systems model

J. Sole*, R. Samso, E. Garcia-Ladona, A. Garcia-Olivares, J. Ballabrera-Poy, T. Madurell, A. Turiel, O. Osychenkoa, D. Alvarez, U. Bardi, M. Baumann, K. Buchmann, Capellan-Perez, M. Cerny, O. Carpintero, Lisa De Blas, C. De Castro, J-D De Lathouwer, C. Duce, L. EgglerJ. M. Enriquez, S. Falsini, K. Feng, N. Ferreras, F. Frechoso, K. Hubacek, A. Jones, R. Kaclikova, C. Kerschner, C. Kimmich, L. F. Lobejon, P. L. Lomas, G. Martelloni, M. Mediavilla, L. J. Miguel, D. Natalini, J. Nieto, A. Nikolaev, G. Parrado, S. Papagianni, I. Perissi, C. Ploiner, L. Radulov, P. Rodrigo, L. Sun, M. Theofilidi

*Corresponding author for this work

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    Abstract

    This paper reviews different approaches to modelling the energy transition towards a zero carbon economy. It identifies a number of limitations in current approaches such as a lack of consideration of out-of-equilibrium situations (like an energy transition) and non-linear feedbacks. To tackle those issues, the new open source integrated assessment model pymedeas is introduced, which allows the exploration of the design and planning of appropriate strategies and policies for decarbonizing the energy sector at World and EU level. The main novelty of the new open-source model is that it addresses the energy transition by considering biophysical limits, availability of raw materials, and climate change impacts. This paper showcases the model capabilities through several simulation experiments to explore alternative pathways for the renewable transition. In the selected scenarios of this work, future shortage of fossil fuels is found to be the most influential factor of the simulations system evolution. Changes in efficiency and climate change damages are also important determinants influencing model outcomes.

    Original languageEnglish
    Article number110105
    Number of pages13
    JournalRenewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews
    Volume132
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Oct-2020

    Keywords

    • Biophysical constraints
    • Climate damage
    • Energy efficiency
    • GHG emissions
    • Raw materials
    • Energy costs
    • CLIMATE-CHANGE
    • WORLD
    • VULNERABILITY
    • EMPLOYMENT
    • ECONOMICS
    • DYNAMICS
    • BENEFITS
    • DAMAGE
    • EARTH

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