PARAMETER-ESTIMATION FOR ARMA MODELS WITH INFINITE VARIANCE INNOVATIONS

  • Thomas Mikosch
  • , T GADRICH
  • , Claudia Kluppelberg
  • , RJ ADLER

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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    Abstract

    We consider a standard ARMA process of the form phi(B)X(t) = B(B)Z(t), where the innovations Z(t) belong to the domain of attraction of a stable law, so that neither the Z(t) nor the X(t) have a finite variance. Our aim is to estimate the coefficients of phi and theta. Since maximum likelihood estimation is not a viable possibility (due to the unknown form of the marginal density of the innovation sequence), we adopt the so-called Whittle estimator, based on the sample periodogram of the X sequence. Despite the fact that the periodogram does not, a priori, seem like a logical object to study in this non-L(2) situation, we show that our estimators are consistent, obtain their asymptotic distributions and show that they converge to the true values faster than in the usual L(2) case.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)305-326
    Number of pages22
    JournalAnnals of statistics
    Volume23
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Feb-1995

    Keywords

    • STABLE INNOVATIONS
    • ARMA PROCESS
    • PERIODOGRAM
    • WHITTLE ESTIMATOR
    • PARAMETER ESTIMATION
    • AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESSES
    • TIME-SERIES

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