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Abstract
What causes U.S. trade with Mexico and Canada to continue growing faster, for up to a decade, relative to countries with which the U.S. does not have a free trade agreement? Baier and Bergstrand (2007) suggest that tariff phase-out and delayed pass-through of tariffs into import prices could cause such prolonged differential import growth. We examine how tariff cuts negotiated under the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) affected U.S. import growth in 1989-2016 using detailed product-level data on tariff phase-out in the original treaties. We find essentially no evidence for the tariff phase-out or delayed pass through explanations. Rather, we find evidence for an important role played by NAFTA tariff cuts reducing the impacts of frictions at various extensive margins.
Original language | English |
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Publisher | CESifo |
Number of pages | 63 |
Publication status | Published - Apr-2019 |
Publication series
Name | CESifo Working Paper Series |
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No. | 7614 |
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Dive into the research topics of 'Phase out tariffs, phase in trade?'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.Activities
- 1 Academic presentation
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European Economic Association 2020 Virtual Conference
Kohl, T. (Speaker)
Aug-2020Activity: Talk and presentation › Academic presentation › Academic