Race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate equation in kidney transplant recipients: development and validation study

Marc Raynaud, Solaf Al-Awadhi, Ivana Juric, Gillian Divard, Yannis Lombardi, Nikolina Basic-Jukic, Olivier Aubert, Laurence Dubourg, Ingrid Masson, Christophe Mariat, Dominique Prié, Vincent Pernin, Moglie Le Quintrec, Timothy S Larson, Mark D Stegall, Boris Bikbov, Piero Ruggenenti, Laurent Mesnard, Hassan N Ibrahim, Marie Bodilsen NielsenArthur J Matas, Brian J Nankivell, Stan Benjamens, Robert A Pol, Stephan J L Bakker, Xavier Jouven, Christophe Legendre, Nassim Kamar, Byron H Smith, Hani M Wadei, Antoine Durrbach, Flavio Vincenti, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Carmen Lefaucheur, Andrew J Bentall, Alexandre Loupy*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

10 Citations (Scopus)
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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of a newly developed race-free kidney recipient specific glomerular filtration rate (GFR) equation with the three current main equations for measuring GFR in kidney transplant recipients.

DESIGN: Development and validation study SETTING: 17 cohorts in Europe, the United States, and Australia (14 transplant centres, three clinical trials).

PARTICIPANTS: 15 489 adults (3622 in development cohort (Necker, Saint Louis, and Toulouse hospitals, France), 11 867 in multiple external validation cohorts) who received kidney transplants between 1 January 2000 and 1 January 2021.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The main outcome measure was GFR, measured according to local practice. Performance of the GFR equations was assessed using P 30 (proportion of estimated GFR (eGFR) within 30% of measured GFR (mGFR)) and correct classification (agreement between eGFR and mGFR according to GFR stages). The race-free equation, based on creatinine level, age, and sex, was developed using additive and multiplicative linear regressions, and its performance was compared with the three current main GFR equations: Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) 2009 equation, and race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation.

RESULTS: The study included 15 489 participants, with 50 464 mGFR and eGFR values. The mean GFR was 53.18 mL/min/1.73m 2 (SD 17.23) in the development cohort and 55.90 mL/min/1.73m 2 (19.69) in the external validation cohorts. Among the current GFR equations, the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation showed the lowest performance compared with the MDRD and CKD-EPI 2009 equations. When race was included in the kidney recipient specific GFR equation, performance did not increase. The race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation showed significantly improved performance compared with the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation and performed well in the external validation cohorts (P 30 ranging from 73.0% to 91.3%). The race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation performed well in several subpopulations of kidney transplant recipients stratified by race (P 30 73.0-91.3%), sex (72.7-91.4%), age (70.3-92.0%), body mass index (64.5-100%), donor type (58.5-92.9%), donor age (68.3-94.3%), treatment (78.5-85.2%), creatinine level (72.8-91.3%), GFR measurement method (73.0-91.3%), and timing of GFR measurement post-transplant (72.9-95.5%). An online application was developed that estimates GFR based on recipient's creatinine level, age, and sex (https://transplant-prediction-system.shinyapps.io/eGFR_equation_KTX/).

CONCLUSION: A new race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation was developed and validated using multiple, large, international cohorts of kidney transplant recipients. The equation showed high accuracy and outperformed the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation that was developed in individuals with native kidneys.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05229939.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere073654
Number of pages12
JournalBMJ (Clinical research ed.)
Volume381
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31-May-2023

Keywords

  • Adult
  • Humans
  • Glomerular Filtration Rate
  • Kidney Transplantation
  • Creatinine
  • Kidney
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/diagnosis

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