Talent Selection: Making Decisions and Prognoses about Athletes

Franziska Lath, Ruud den Hartigh , Nick Wattie, Joerg Schorer

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review


In this chapter, we focus on an almost forgotten actor in talent research – the
coach who has to make decisions on the future potential of children at different
developmental stages. Coaches must make prognoses, often on the bases of little information, about how these young athletes will perform when they are at their prime. As we will argue in the first part of this chapter, making
prognoses on athletes is not an easy task. In the second part, we provide the
reader with an overview of current knowledge on the ‘coaches’ eye’ for identifying talent. We then place the coaches’ eye within a broader psychological framework of decision making. Finally, we consider how knowledge from decision making research might improve our understanding of talent selection processes in the future.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationTalent Identification and Development in Sport
Subtitle of host publicationInternational Perspectives
EditorsJoseph Baker, Stephen Cobley, Joerg Schorer
Number of pages16
ISBN (Electronic)9781003049111
ISBN (Print)9780367501983, 9780367469290
Publication statusPublished - 29-Oct-2020


  • talent identification
  • talent development
  • sports
  • coaching
  • scouting
  • clinical judgment
  • Actuarial judgment
  • performance prediction

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