The relative influence of secondary versus primary prevention using the national cholesterol education program adult treatment panel II guidelines

L Goldman*, P Coxson, MGM Hunink, PA Goldman, ANA Tosteson, M Mittleman, L Williams, MC Weinstein

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

    25 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    OBJECTIVES This study was undertaken to project the population-wide effect of full implementation of the Adult Treatment Panel (ATP) II guidelines of the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP).

    BACKGROUND The ATP II has proposed guidelines for cholesterol reduction, but the long-term epidemiologic influence of its components has not been fully examined.

    METHODS We used a calibrated, validated simulation of the U.S. population, aged 35 to 84 years to estimate the potential for the NCEP guidelines, under varying assumptions, to reduce coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality and overall mortality from the years 2000 to 2020.

    RESULTS Primary prevention would yield only about half of the benefits of secondary prevention despite requiring nearly twice as many person-years of treatment. The projected increase in quality-adjusted years of life per year of treatment for secondary prevention was 3- to 12-fold higher than for primary prevention. To yield population-wide epidemiologic benefits equivalent to NCEP recommendations for secondary prevention, primary prevention would require a nearly sixfold increase in the number of persons treated compared with NCEP recommendations. All benefits of universal success of the NCEP primary prevention "screen and treat" guidelines could be achieved by a 11 mg/dl (8%) population-wide reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels among persons without preexisting coronary heart disease.

    CONCLUSIONS The NCEP guidelines for targeted primary prevention can be a useful component of a rational public health strategy, but only as a complement to the more appealing strategies of secondary prevention and "across-the-board" programs to lower all cholesterol levels. (J Am Coil Cardiol 1999;34:768-76) (C) 1999 by the American College of Cardiology.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)768-776
    Number of pages9
    JournalJournal of the American College of Cardiology
    Volume34
    Issue number3
    Publication statusPublished - Sept-1999

    Keywords

    • CORONARY HEART-DISEASE
    • UNITED-STATES ADULTS
    • COST-EFFECTIVENESS
    • SERUM-CHOLESTEROL
    • BLOOD CHOLESTEROL
    • SECULAR TRENDS
    • POLICY MODEL
    • RISK-FACTORS
    • HEALTH-CARE
    • MORTALITY

    Fingerprint

    Dive into the research topics of 'The relative influence of secondary versus primary prevention using the national cholesterol education program adult treatment panel II guidelines'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

    Cite this