A Puzzle About Stalnaker's Hypothesis

Igor Douven*, Richard Dietz

*Bijbehorende auteur voor dit werk

OnderzoeksoutputAcademicpeer review

20 Citaten (Scopus)
22 Downloads (Pure)


According to Stalnaker's Hypothesis, the probability of an indicative conditional, Pr(phi -> psi), equals the probability of the consequent conditional on its antecedent, Pr(phi -> psi). While the hypothesis is generally taken to have been conclusively refuted by Lewis' and others' triviality arguments, its descriptive adequacy has been confirmed in many experimental studies. In this paper, we consider some possible ways of resolving the apparent tension between the analytical and the empirical results relating to Stalnaker's Hypothesis and we argue that none offer a satisfactory resolution.

Originele taal-2English
Pagina's (van-tot)31-37
Aantal pagina's7
TijdschriftTopoi: An International Review of Philosophy
Nummer van het tijdschrift1
StatusPublished - apr-2011

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