Estimating Outstanding Claim Liabilities: The Role of Unobserved Risk Factors

Laura Spierdijk*, Ruud H. Koning

*Bijbehorende auteur voor dit werk

OnderzoeksoutputAcademicpeer review

3 Citaten (Scopus)

Samenvatting

This article proposes a new method for estimating claim liabilities. Our approach is based on the observation from contract theory that there is information asymmetry between the insurer and the policyholder about the risks incurred by the latter. We show that unobserved heterogeneity allows for a form of experience learning that can reduce this asymmetry, which makes it easier for the insurer to distinguish between high-risk and low-risk claimants. We evaluate our approach in the context of disability insurance for self-employed and show that it results in more accurate best estimates of outstanding claim liabilities.

Originele taal-2English
Pagina's (van-tot)803-830
Aantal pagina's28
TijdschriftJournal of risk and insurance
Volume81
Nummer van het tijdschrift4
DOI's
StatusPublished - dec.-2014

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