Influence of Increased Joint Line Obliquity on Survivorship After Lateral Closing-Wedge High Tibial Osteotomy

Background: Although high tibial osteotomy (HTO) has emerged as a powerful intervention for treating symptomatic medial osteoarthritis and varus malalignment, it can result in an increase in knee joint line obliquity (KJLO) in the frontal plane. Limited current evidence hinders understanding of the effect of increased KJLO on HTO survivorship. Purpose: To investigate the influence of KJLO and other potential risk factors on the survivorship of lateral closing-wedge HTO. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: Patients with symptomatic medial knee osteoarthritis and varus malalignment treated with lateral closing-wedge HTO at a single hospital were screened with a minimum follow-up of 5 years. HTO survival rate was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. The influence of postoperative increased KJLO (medial proximal tibial angle ≥95°), age (≥55 years), sex (female), preoperative malalignment (hip-knee-ankle angle ≥10° of varus), postoperative untargeted alignment (hip-knee-ankle angle <2° or >6° of valgus), and preoperative osteoarthritis severity (Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥3) on survivorship of HTO was evaluated using Cox regression analysis. A failure of HTO was defined as a conversion to total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Results: A total of 410 patients (463 knees) were included, with a mean follow-up of 13.0 years (range, 5.0-18.1 years) and a mean survival time of 11.2 years (range, 1.2-18.1 years) for patients who reached the endpoint of TKA. HTO survival rates at 5, 10, and 15 years postoperatively were 91%, 78%, and 60%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed no significant difference in survivorship between patients with increased KJLO and those with acceptable KJLO (178 vs 285 knees; hazard ratio [HR], 0.8; 95% CI, 0.6-1.1; P =.148), with no significant between-group difference observed in the mean follow-up length (12.9 ± 3.0 years vs 13.1 ± 3.3 years; P =.105). Female sex (HR, 2.0; P <.001) and postoperative untargeted alignment (HR, 1.6; P =.003) were risk factors for a conversion to TKA. Conclusion: Increased postoperative KJLO (medial proximal tibial angle ≥95°) had no significant influence on the survivorship of lateral closing-wedge HTO. Men demonstrated superior survival outcomes compared with women, and it was important to achieve a targeted postoperative alignment (HKA 2°-6° of valgus) to ensure favorable HTO survivorship.