Modeling creative abduction Bayesian style

Christian J. Feldbacher-Escamilla, Alexander Gebharter

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Samenvatting

Schurz (Synthese 164:201–234, 2008) proposed a justification of creative abduction on the basis of the Reichenbachian principle of the common cause. In this paper we take up the idea of combining creative abduction with causal principles and model instances of successful creative abduction within a Bayes net framework. We identify necessary conditions for such inferences and investigate their unificatory power. We also sketch several interesting applications of modeling creative abduction Bayesian style. In particular, we discuss use-novel predictions, confirmation, and the problem of underdetermination in the context of abductive inferences.

Originele taal-2English
ArtikelnummerUNSP 9
Aantal pagina's15
TijdschriftEuropean Journal for Philosophy of Science
Volume9
Nummer van het tijdschrift1
DOI's
StatusPublished - jan-2019

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