Political leader survival: does competence matter?

Shu Yu, Richard Jong-A-Pin*

*Bijbehorende auteur voor dit werk

OnderzoeksoutputAcademicpeer review

8 Citaten (Scopus)
295 Downloads (Pure)


We examine whether economic and military competence of political leaders affect their duration in office. We introduce leader heterogeneity in the selectorate theory of Bueno de Mesquita et al. (2003) and derive the hypothesis that in the presence of a revolutionary threat, economic competence is negatively related to political survival, but that the effect is moderated by the size of the winning coalition. As military and economic competence are negatively correlated, the opposite holds for military competence. We present empirical estimates using proxies for military and economic competence in a parametric Weibull duration model that support our theoretical predictions.

Originele taal-2English
Pagina's (van-tot)113-142
Aantal pagina's30
TijdschriftPublic Choice
Nummer van het tijdschrift1-2
StatusPublished - jan-2016

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