Samenvatting
After explaining the well-known two-envelope 'paradox' by indicating the fallacy involved, we consider the two-envelope 'problem' of evaluating the 'factual' information provided to us in the form of the value contained by the envelope chosen first. We try to provide a synthesis of contributions from economy, psychology, logic, probability theory (in the form of Bayesian statistics), mathematical statistics (in the form of a decision-theoretic approach) and game theory. We conclude that the two-envelope problem does not allow a satisfactory solution. An interpretation is made for statistical science at large.
Originele taal-2 | English |
---|---|
Pagina's (van-tot) | 89-109 |
Aantal pagina's | 21 |
Tijdschrift | Synthese |
Volume | 145 |
Nummer van het tijdschrift | 1 |
DOI's | |
Status | Published - mei-2005 |